👏 Nanna’s first article for her PhD has just been published in the highly respected International Journal of Nursing Studies. The article is a systematic review and meta-analysis of prediction models designed to forecast the risk of hospital readmission among medical patients.
💡Hvad viser studiet?
Gennemgangen kortlægger, hvilke faktorer der oftest bruges til at udvikle prædiktionsmodeller, og peger samtidig på faktorer, som er underrepræsenterede – men potentielt vigtige.
Studiet inkluderer 16 forskningsartikler, og resultaterne viser:
• Der er stor variation i, hvilke faktorer de forskellige studier tester. Nogle inkluderer fx socioøkonomiske forhold, men ofte uden systematik
• Mange modeller mangler kalibrering – altså en vurdering af, om modellens forudsigelser stemmer overens med de faktiske observationer. Det er en central forudsætning for at kunne udvikle pålidelige prædiktioner
• En grundig ”risk of bias-analyse” afslører metodiske svagheder i udviklingen af modellerne
🧐What does the meta-analysis contribute?
The meta-analysis summarises the most frequently reported factors that can identify medical patients at risk of readmission within 28–31 days. It also provides an overall statistical estimate of model performance across studies, contributing valuable insights into how well prediction models perform in medical contexts.
🏥 The International Journal of Nursing Studies is a leading journal in nursing research. It has been ranked number one among nursing journals for several consecutive years, based on its impact factor. The journal is recognised for publishing high-quality research that informs and enhances health policy and practice. It is highly respected for its contributions to evidence-based nursing and its commitment to promoting research excellence by selecting and disseminating work of outstanding quality.
Read the article here.